Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.079699 0.129587 0.189720 0.264643 0.353063 0.452095 0.569576
2025-12-14 0.018718 0.066359 0.142501 0.253998 0.400489 0.577322 0.799270
2025-12-21 0.005539 0.049003 0.136751 0.278209 0.474253 0.718880 1.033072
2025-12-28 0.000704 0.037488 0.134190 0.303412 0.547634 0.859658 1.266766
2026-01-04 NaN 0.026245 0.126063 0.316527 0.602186 0.974985 1.468105
2026-01-11 NaN 0.022796 0.131905 0.350674 0.685504 1.127205 1.715451
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018265 0.132808 0.375640 0.755352 1.261842 1.941034
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011187 0.122144 0.378745 0.792541 1.353059 2.111797
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003232 0.096711 0.350584 0.780852 1.377608 2.196814
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000042 0.070683 0.314230 0.752642 1.377169 2.247758
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.058510 0.302737 0.761059 1.425379 2.360440
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.053974 0.307344 0.794845 1.508559 2.518660
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.045820 0.302471 0.814705 1.575316 2.660025
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.035061 0.287247 0.816175 1.616029 2.767727
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.038747 0.314106 0.890290 1.760881 3.013887
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.042308 0.340689 0.964124 1.905610 3.260278
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.041793 0.354712 1.016086 2.018971 3.465066
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.048402 0.390937 1.107109 2.188902 3.745647
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.051842 0.417383 1.181114 2.334453 3.993935
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.047859 0.420667 1.214566 2.421602 4.164462
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.034720 0.390846 1.188181 2.421353 4.217606
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.021629 0.352254 1.142757 2.391358 4.229297
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.016317 0.340029 1.144324 2.429578 4.332266